These diagrams explain entrapment in the simplest
terms. They end by indicating some of its complexities. Entrapment
is essentially an ecological concept.
Figure
One. Entrapment starts with a circumscribed area of land
on which a community of people live - their local ecosystem. Theoretically
it can be any size, from an individual farmestead to the world
as a whole. In practice it is easiest to think in terms of
countries, because the data with which to diagnose entrapment
are usually collected for countries.
Figure
Two. All ecosystems are driven by the energy of the sun.
Plants use this energy to grow and make food crops. People eat this stored
energy, which is shown here as bananas. To begin with,
all the food energy a community needs is produced by its own
ecosystem.
Figure
Three. However, as the population increases there comes a point
when the community is so large that it exceeds the carrying capacity of
its piece of land - its local ecosystem. There are more people than
the land can support.
Figure
Four. If a community exceeds the carrying capacity of its
ecosystem, and is fortunate: (i) People
can migrate to new land. (ii)
They can make exports, and exchange them for imports,
especially food. By eating imported food they are making use of light energy
that falls on other parts of the world. This can go on until there are
more people than the world as a whole can support - until humanity exceeds
the global carrying capacity. There are signs that this may have
happened. See.
Figure
Five. For a community to produce exports, it has to have an
economy which can produce them. For the rapidly growing
communities of Africa, the problem is to develop the economy fast
enough, to produce the essential imports, especially
food.
Figure
Six. What happens if the carrying capacity has been exceeded,
there is nowhere to migrate to and the economy produces too few exports
to exchange for the essential imports, especially food? This
is the condition of demographic entrapment.
The formal definition of entrapment is this: A community is demographically
trapped if it exceeds the carrying capacity of its ecosystem, and
its ability to migrate, and the ability
of its economy to produce the necessary exports which it can exchange for
the essential imports especially food. It is also trapped, if because its
population is increasing, it is going to be in this unhappy situation before
long.
Figure Seven. The alternatives
then are starvation or slaughter. People can either stunt and starve,
or they can kill one another.
At this point beginners are advised to go
to Page 2 and read
the dialogue with Lady M - the
Lady from Mars.
Figure
Eight. These simplified figures can be progressively refined.
Here is a beginning.
1. The edges of trapped areas are best thought of as 'gradients' rather than sharp borders. In Africa political borders are usually rather nominal. Even so, any difficulty over migration indicates that there is a discontinuity between the place being migrated from, and the place being migrated to - in effect a border.
2. At what scale should entrapment be diagnosed?
Should
one think of the entrapment of (i)
single farmsteads in Rwanda, (ii)
of the Rwanda as a country, (iii) of
Rwanda and Burundi, (iv)
of the Great lakes region of Central Africa, (v)
of Africa as a whole, or (vi)
of the world? Answer: One needs to think at all these levels, and
to consider the extent to which communities within them may
or may not be trapped.
3. Entrapment is seldom uniform. Population pressure is usually denser in some places than in others.
4. What standard of living ? Food consumption alone varies from 200 kg of grain annually in India to 800 kg in the USA? For simplicity diagnosing entrapment, we consider merely survival - in effect the 200 kg level. This is a necessary beginning. What the 'reasonable' or 'optimal' level might be is important - and the subject of much argument.
5. What about other creatures, especially the animals? For simplicity the figures consider only man, and assume that man is the only creature supported by an ecosystem. There are many aspects of this:
(i) Animals
are inefficient energy converters. When
farm animals convert the energy stored in plants into
that stored in their own bodies they waste a lot of it. This
is why, if carrying capacity for humans is to be maximized,
we humans should eat a diet which is largely grain - a 'photon efficient
diet' - one which converts the light energy falling on an ecosystem into
food energy with maximal efficiency.
(ii) The maintenance of biodiversity, both for its own sake, and for its use by man requires that man be not the only creature to be considered, and that the rest of creation should have its share. Hence the importance of game parks, etc.
6. What economy?.The simplest economy can produce exports of primary products, particularly minerals, and timber, and high value agricultural exports, such as cocoa, and tobacco. But if more than minimal imports are required, they are likely to have to be produced by the export of manufactures, and services, such as tourism.
7. Is all slaughter caused by entrapment? Most certainly not!! Intense population pressure in a primarily agricultural community, is merely one powerful cause. Whether a community starves or slaughters itself is likely to depend on whether there are powerful social tensions in the community. Systematic genocide of the Rwandan pattern is likely to be the exceptional event, and disordered slaughter much more likely.
8. What happens to carrying capacity?
Carrying capacity needs to go up to counter entrapment. Unfortunately,
it commonly goes down.
Figure Nine.[1]
In a tropical forest ecosystem most of the nutrients (nitrogen, potassium,
phosphate, etc.) are in the biomass (vegetation). When this is burnt
and crops are planted, the land is initially very fertile, but it steadily
falls, as in this figure. "...Land-mining or soil mining, defined
as 'productivity without sustainability' is the
norm
[our italics] rather than the exception in the Third World, especially
in Africa. Everywhere, farmers take out from inherently marginal
and easily degradable land more than they put back; they mine the land
until it is virtually rendered useless..." [2]
References
1. Ministry of Agriculture, Animal Industry and Fisheries, Uganda. Obtained from the Department of Agriculture, Makere University, Uganda. 1996.
2. Beets WC. Raising and sustaining productivity of smallholder farming systems in the tropics. A Handbook of sustainable Agricultural Development. Agbe Publishing, Box 9125 1800 Alkmaar, Holland.