Predicting outcomes of pregnancies with foetal growth problems


New methods to predict outcomes for pregnancies where there are issues with poor growth of the baby inside the womb have been developed by a team of scientists. 

The new research, published in the Journal of Clinical Investigation, involved 142 women from the EVERREST Prospective Study who had severe early-onset foetal growth restriction (FGR) – meaning their babies were very small on ultrasound scans early in the second half of pregnancy, between 20 and 27 weeks.

Foetal growth restriction affects approximately 60,000 babies per year in Europe and the USA.

"Many people find uncertainty harder to cope with than definite bad news."

Dr Rebecca Spencer, School of Medicine

Some babies with FGR continue to grow and are born around their due date. However, many will either need extreme preterm delivery (before 28 weeks of pregnancy) or will not survive the pregnancy, resulting in stillbirth. 

In England alone, it is estimated that the annual total costs of neonatal care are £262million

Lead author Dr Rebecca Spencer, NIHR Clinical Lecturer in Obstetrics and Gynaecology in the University of Leeds’s School of Medicine and University College London’s EGA Institute for Women’s Health, said: “There is currently a lot of uncertainty for the families of unborn babies with early-onset fetal growth restriction and for their health-carers. 

“We want to give them a better idea of what to expect if they are affected – as many people find uncertainty harder to cope with than definite bad news.

“Predicting pregnancy outcomes may also help doctors decide how often to do ultrasound scans and when to give antenatal steroids to prepare the baby for preterm delivery.”

Statistical models

Results were analysed for 123 women who had provided blood samples and had regular ultrasound examinations of their baby’s size and wellbeing.

First, researchers measured the levels of 102 proteins in blood samples from 63 women and combined this with the ultrasound measurements to build statistical models that could predict pregnancy outcomes.

The team asked both women and their doctors about which pregnancy outcomes they thought were important to them. These included:

-    Foetal or neonatal death.
-    Death or delivery before 28 weeks.
-    Development of abnormal umbilical artery Dopplers (a marker of placental insufficiency which can lead to fetal growth restriction or preterm delivery).
-    Delivery at 37 weeks or more.

Researchers then used measurements from the other 60 women, of the study cohort, to validate the models predicting these outcomes.

Dr Spencer said: “We found that by assessing ultrasound and protein measurements – both alone and combined – we were able to predict which pregnancies would end in stillbirth or neonatal death, and which may require extreme preterm delivery before 28 weeks of pregnancy.”

Researchers hope that using these techniques will help identify which women should be included in trials for potential treatments. 

Drug development

Senior author Anna David, Professor of Obstetrics and Maternal Fetal Medicine at UCL’s EGA Institute for Women’s Health, leads the multinational EVERREST consortium. The EVERREST consortium is developing a novel treatment to improve the growth and outcomes of very small babies in the womb.

Professor David said: “Currently we have no therapy to improve foetal growth inside the womb but a novel drug is being developed by our team. This will need to be tested in clinical trials. These results will help researchers to identify those women who might be most suitable to participate in the clinical trial, where the possible benefits outweigh the risks.

“Better prediction of which pregnancies will end in stillbirth, neonatal death or extreme preterm delivery will help to identify who should be included in these trials.”

The new research was funded by Rosetrees Trust and the Mitchell Charitable Trust. It was carried out in collaboration with researchers from the University of Leeds, University College London Hospital, University Medical Centre Hamburg-Eppendorf, Lund University and the Barcelona Centre for Maternal-Fetal and Neonatal Medicine.

Further information

The EVERREST consortium has received funding from the European Union Seventh Framework Programme.

Email University of Leeds press officer Lauren Ballinger via with media enquiries.