Note No. 7, SRI 32. 1 November 2022. Lucie Middlemiss, Aimee Ambrose, Neil Simcock, Mari Martiskainen, Graeme Sheriff
Access to energy is being severely restricted by the cost of living crisis, with almost a quarter of households experiencing fuel poverty, despite existing interventions. Here we draw on a large body of evidence on fuel poverty to summarise likely effects on households this winter. We find there is urgent need for further bill support, energy efficiency and targeted advice for vulnerable households.
Following unprecedented rises in energy costs to UK households in 2022, almost a quarter are now facing fuel poverty . Fuel poverty is caused by low or unstable incomes, high energy costs, and inefficient housing and appliances. Often associated with an exposure to the cold, wider effects include restricting cooking or heating food, or use of other essential appliances vital to health, wellbeing social and economic inclusion (i.e. washing machines, ICT). Fuel poverty is a devolved issue in the UK, with different targets, measures and policy goals across the devolved nations. All aim to reduce exposure to this pernicious problem.
Rapid rises in energy costs will have detrimental effects for many more people during this crisis. Measures implemented to date to address cost of living include: a price cap on the unit rate for household gas and electricity, support for all households through energy payments, and additional financial support for particular people (e.g. those on certain benefits) . But even with these existing measures, many households will struggle to pay their bills and will ration energy use or self-disconnect (turning energy off) due to rising costs.
The UK is an international hub of expertise on fuel poverty, home to the largest group of researchers in this field, and a substantial, diverse and high-quality evidence base. Based on this evidence, this briefing highlights the likely experiences of people in fuel poverty this winter and beyond. Here we outline who is more likely to be affected, and comment on consequences for policy in the short and medium term.
There is strong consensus in the field: with clear agreement on the causes, effects and solutions to fuel poverty. Evidence from the past 20 years allows us to build a picture of what the winter holds for those at risk of fuel poverty and how they are likely to be affected.
Responses to fuel poverty
Our analysis of likely experiences this winter builds on extensive evidence of people’s responses to fuel poverty . People in fuel poverty typically ration heating, living in cold homes, or compromise on other costs (food, travel) in order to afford heating and other energy services. Some households will only heat for vulnerable people or only heat one room. People also try to reduce energy associated with bathing, cooking and other appliances.
Bob is in his 50s and off work with very poor mental health, living in a private rented house. He hasn’t heated for years so in some ways he is not affected by changing prices, but the coming winter is affecting his mood. He is also used to rationing his electricity use and only cooks and showers now and again to keep bills down. His fridge is permanently turned off.
Implications for public health
These experiences impact people’s lives in other ways, including poor mental and physical health, social isolation and financial hardship , and are shown to cause, or exacerbate existing, conditions (respiratory, circulatory, disability, mental health) . These can also cause a range of social ills, from more days off sick, to an increase in excess winter deaths . People often respond to fuel poverty by reducing their social and family life: socialising less in cold weather and using fewer rooms in the home, which has mental health effects, and negative impacts on family relations. Resultant financial hardship can also increase stress.
Regional and social variations
These experiences and effects are felt more strongly by specific groups of people, shaped by spatial and social factors, and subject to variation in response to policy. We see more fuel poverty in parts of the country where the housing stock is inefficient (e.g. Northern England), where poverty rates are higher (e.g. Cornwall), where the weather is colder (e.g. Scotland), or where there is high reliance on expensive oil-based heating (e.g. Northern Ireland).
Socially, those with non-negotiable high energy needs are a particular concern: for instance disabled people, older people and children, who need additional heat, electricity or hot water. Families in fuel poverty and living in the least efficient homes (EPC band E and below) are also at risk. Given the increase of 2.2 million households facing fuel poverty since 2021 , more people are having to constrain access to heating, cooking and appliances, and may be less well equipped with coping strategies. Advice on energy saving circulating in the public domain is sometimes unlikely to save money (e.g. buying an expensive air fryer) and may exacerbate health problems (e.g. increased building mould from not heating).
Jane lives with her 2-year-old daughter in a tower block. She works from home and was already struggling with the cold when we met her in October. She has the heating off when her daughter is at nursery, and the draughty flat is difficult to keep warm even with the heating on. She goes to bed early with her daughter to save on costs.
Measuring the depth of the crisis
The numbers of fuel poor households that we cite here come from the respected charity National Energy Action, as government figures, particularly in England, are neither timely nor helpful for monitoring price changes. The government measure for England (Low Income, Low Energy Efficiency)  is insensitive to the effect of fluctuating prices on fuel poverty, and statistics are released for two years prior. There is an urgent need for more immediate monitoring to ensure policy is well designed and targeted. Data and techniques for doing this are already available .
The evidence points to the following ongoing challenges for policy:
- Those with additional non-negotiable needs for energy need better support in the short term. This means additional bill support for disabled, older and very young people .
- Communicating safe and achievable advice to fuel poor households is essential. Tailored advice on safe energy use for different demographics can achieve this .
- There is a need for more effective monitoring and measuring, using existing techniques and data, to allow government to track policy design and targeting.
- Longer term solutions to bring down the need for energy in fuel poor homes are increasingly important . Government investment in home insulation and replacing energy inefficient appliances will improve resilience to energy price fluctuation.
Book a time to speak to the team as part of Evidence Week in Parliament 2022, Wednesday 16 November 9:00 to 12:00, Jubilee Room, Westminster.
The authors are part of the Fuel Poverty Evidence group which aims to make it easier to tap into the UK’s world leading research on fuel poverty. The group is led by the Universities of Leeds, Sheffield Hallam and Sussex, and Fuel Poverty Research Network.
To cite this policy note, please reference: Middlemiss et al. (2022) Fuel poverty in the cost of living crisis. Note 7, SRI 32. Policy Leeds, University of Leeds. https://doi.org/10.48785/100/94
This is a joint brief by Policy Leeds and the Sustainability Research Institute Policy and Practice briefing series.
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